October 15, 2025, will go down as the day the Kentucky Senate race became a two-man race between Andy Barr and Daniel Cameron, with the second poll in a week, showing as much, and Nate Morris’ public fundraising reports being the most embarrassing thing to happen to him since his Nikki Haley donation or his company collapse.
Today, Andy Barr’s Campaign released a new statewide poll that is in line with a poll from a few days ago from Daniel Cameron’s campaign. The poll was conducted October 13-14.
October 10 Cameron Poll: Cameron 39% | Barr 22% | Morris 8%
October 15 Barr Poll: Cameron 42% | Barr 25% | Morris 10%
Let’s zoom out for a second, Nate Morris spent months claiming he would put in unlimited money and that President Trump would support him out of the gate. Well, neither is true. He has no money and no Trump. His finance report shows he only raised $1 million, only put in $3 million, lit $3 million on fire in 3 months, and has only an abysmal $1.1 million on hand.
Morris and outside allies have now spent over $6 million on this vanity effort – attacking Barr and promoting Morris – and have nothing to show for it. In fact, in Louisville and Lexington, the markets that make up 60% of the vote and have seen the bulk of the spending, the picture is even worse for Morris – his ballot is in single digits and his image is underwater. The more people hear about Morris, the more they dislike him. The verbatims for him are atrocious.
Lexington Ballot & Images
40% Barr (68 Fav/16 Unfav)
35% Cameron (67 Fav/12 Unfav)
8% Morris (12 Fav/19 Unfav)
Louisville Ballot & Images
45% Cameron (63 Fav/16 Unfav)
22% Barr (+6 since Aug; 36 Fav/13 Unfav)
8% Morris (15 Fav/16 Unfav)
Even worse for Nate, more people now view him as a moderate and a liberal, than as a conservative – a killer in a Republican Primary. The opposite is true for Barr and Cameron. When looking at these numbers, it seems there isn’t any amount of money that can save Nate Morris.
Conclusion: The Kentucky Senate Race is a two-man race between Andy Barr and Daniel Cameron. Nate Morris’ campaign is dead – dead broke and dead last. Put plainly: Andy Beshear has a better chance of winning a Republican Primary in Kentucky today than Nate Morris does. In the two-man race, only Andy Barr has the resources and the organization to win, with over $6.6 million cash-on-hand – in his last report Daniel Cameron only had $532K cash on-hand. Andy Barr will be the next United States Senator from Kentucky.
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UpONE Insights conducted a Kentucky statewide survey of N=600 Republican primary voters, October 13-14, 2025. The margin of error is +/- 4%. The interviews were conducted via live caller agents to cell phones and landline phones in Kentucky. This is a representative sample of a likely GOP primary universe in Kentucky, with voters sampled from the voter file with recent past Republican primary vote history.